Early Warning Intelligence

Foresight is power.

htm-monitor provides rare, actionable early warnings for critical systems. Unsupervised. Domain-agnostic. Validated against real historical events with known outcomes.

2
Domains validated — power grids & ICU patient monitoring
14 / 24
High-impact events flagged across both domains
0.5%
Alert rate — 99.5% quiet across 16+ years of combined data
0
Labels or domain expertise required. Fully unsupervised.
Validated Domains

One engine. Any continuous signal.

htm-monitor works on any system that produces continuous numeric data over time. The same unsupervised engine adapts to each domain.

Live

Power Grid Monitoring

Real-time anomaly detection for electrical grid infrastructure. Validated against ERCOT, CAISO, and NYISO with 6+ years of public data.

Live

ICU Patient Monitoring

Early detection of patient deterioration from continuous vital signs. Validated on 99 real ICU stays from MIMIC-IV — predicted emergency interventions 2–12 hours ahead.

See it on your data.

Send a 90-day telemetry sample and one past event you'd like scored. Preview audit within a week.

Use Cases

Validated Across
Critical Domains

htm-monitor has been tested against real historical events with known outcomes. Here's what it found.

Power Grid Monitoring

Real-time anomaly detection for electrical grid infrastructure

Live

Texas (ERCOT)

  • Grid operators rely on static reserve margins and day-ahead forecasts — they can’t see multi-day destabilization building across demand, generation, and interchange signals simultaneously
  • Winter Storm Uri (Feb 2021) caused 4.5M outages and 246 deaths; grid collapse was apparent only hours before cascading failure
  • Predicted 1 of 1 target event before onset — 98 h lead time
  • Explained 1 additional alert matched to Winter Storm Elliott (Dec 2022)
  • 0 unexplained alerts over 6.2 years of continuous monitoring
Event Summary
Event Outcome Lead / Lag Alert Fired Event Onset
Winter Storm Uri
Feb 2021 · 4.5M customers lost power
Predicted 98 h lead 2021-02-11 00:00 2021-02-15 02:00
Winter Storm Elliott
Dec 2022 · Contextual alert
Explained 2022-12-23 08:00 2022-12-23 08:00

California (CAISO)

  • California’s grid faces unique volatility from solar ramps, wildfire shutoffs, and extreme heat — conventional forecasting struggles with compound stress events
  • August 2020 rolling blackouts (813K customers, first since 2001) blindsided operators despite normal-looking day-ahead forecasts
  • Predicted 1 of 3 target events before onset — 129 h lead time (Sep 2022 record demand)
  • Detected 2 of 3 after onset — 6 h and 13 h lag (Aug & Sep 2020 blackouts)
  • 0 missed target events · 8 unexplained alerts over 6.2 years (~1.3/year)
Event Summary
Event Outcome Lead / Lag Alert Fired Event Onset
August 2020 Rolling Blackouts
813K customers · First CA blackouts since 2001
Detected 6 h lag 2020-08-15 00:00 2020-08-14 18:00
September 2020 Follow-on
Continued stress on grid
Detected 13 h lag 2020-09-07 01:00 2020-09-06 12:00
September 2022 Record Demand
51,426 MW peak · Near-miss
Predicted 129 h lead 2022-09-01 08:00 2022-09-06 17:00

New York (NYISO)

  • New York manages complex energy imports, aging infrastructure, and weather extremes from summer heat waves to polar vortex events
  • Demand-generation imbalances develop over days before becoming critical — conventional threshold monitors catch them too late or not at all
  • Predicted 3 of 4 target events before onset — median 47 h lead time (range 45–69 h)
  • Detected 1 of 4 after onset — Jan 2026 cold snap (368 h lag)
  • 0 missed target events · 10 unexplained alerts over 6.2 years (~1.6/year)
Event Summary
Event Outcome Lead / Lag Alert Fired Event Onset
June 2020 Dispatch Anomaly
Demand-generation imbalance
Predicted 45 h lead 2020-06-22 21:00 2020-06-24 18:00
June 2024 Heat Wave
Extreme demand event
Predicted 69 h lead 2024-06-19 03:00 2024-06-22 00:00
Winter Storm Fern
Jan 2025 · Gas-price leading indicator
Predicted 47 h lead 2025-01-23 01:00 2025-01-25 00:00
January 2026 Cold Snap
Severe cold weather event
Detected 368 h lag 2026-02-10 08:00 2026-01-26 00:00

ICU Patient Monitoring

Early detection of patient deterioration from continuous vital signs

Live

MIMIC-IV Ward Monitor — 99 ICU Patients

  • ICU nurses face 150–400 alarms per patient per shift; studies show 85–99% are false positives — alarm fatigue is a recognized patient safety crisis
  • Conventional monitors use single-signal thresholds that can’t distinguish sensor noise from genuine multi-system deterioration
  • Predicted 4 of 16 target events before onset — median 8.5 h lead time (range 2–20 h)
  • Detected 2 of 16 after onset · 10 missed
  • Explained 9 alerts matched to clinical events in survived patients
  • 11 unexplained alerts over 14 months (~0.8/month) · 0.5% alert rate (99.5% quiet)
  • 6 of 15 worst-outcome stays (death/hospice) flagged before or during crisis
  • 6 of 16 targets caught (38%) is modest recall — but the 0.5% alert rate makes every alert actionable, unlike conventional monitors where 85–99% of alarms are false positives
Headline Catches — Worst-Outcome Patients
Patient / Event Outcome Lead / Lag Alert Fired Event Onset
Multi-Organ Crisis — Ventilation + Vasopressor
Patient died · Intubation + norepinephrine + vasopressin
Predicted 20 h lead 2024-05-16 21:00 2024-05-17 17:20
Multi-Organ Crisis — Ventilation + Vasopressor
Patient died · MI & shock · Intubation + norepinephrine + vasopressin
Predicted 15 h lead 2024-10-12 01:00 2024-10-12 15:56
Vasopressor Initiation (Norepinephrine)
Patient died · Hemodynamic collapse
Predicted 2 h lead 2024-02-29 21:00 2024-02-29 23:05
Emergency Mechanical Ventilation
Patient died · Respiratory failure requiring intubation
Predicted 2 h lead 2024-09-15 03:00 2024-09-15 05:02
Emergency Intubation + Vasopressor
Patient died · Ventilation + norepinephrine · Sepsis
Detected 2 h lag 2024-05-18 16:00 2024-05-18 14:00
Multi-Organ Crisis — Ventilation + Vasopressor
Patient died · Norepinephrine + intubation
Detected 7 h lag 2024-11-09 19:00 2024-11-09 11:42
How we selected target events (99 → 20 → 26 → 16)
99 ICU stays — all patients in the MIMIC-IV Demo 2.2 dataset, chained sequentially as a single ward monitor.
↓ Filter by outcome: hospital death or hospice discharge → 20 worst-outcome stays (15 died, 5 hospice).
↓ Filter for interventions: stays with vasopressor initiation or mechanical ventilation records → 15 stays with events.
↓ Extract precisely-timed procedures: 13 vasopressor starts + 13 ventilation starts → 26 intervention events.
↓ Merge concurrent crises: when vasopressor + ventilation begin within 4 hours in the same stay, they represent a single clinical crisis — not two independent events. 9 such pairs merged → 17 target events.
↓ Exclude un-monitorable: 1 event whose prediction and detection windows fall entirely before the monitoring period begins → 16 primary target events.

Prediction windows: 24 h before onset, consistent with ICU early-warning literature (InSight, APACHE). Detection windows: 8 h after onset.

The remaining 278 events (ICD diagnosis codes, lab threshold breaches, interventions in survived patients) serve as explanatory context — they can account for alert episodes that don’t match primary targets but still reflect genuine clinical activity.
Technology

Sequence Learning,
Not Thresholds

The engine is Hierarchical Temporal Memory — a biologically-inspired sequence-learning algorithm extended with a grouped-consensus decision layer.

Online Temporal Learning

Each signal model learns its temporal patterns continuously, adapting to drift without retraining. No fixed thresholds. No supervised labels required.

Grouped Consensus

System alerts fire only when multiple independent signal models agree. This cross-group consensus layer dramatically reduces false positives.

Fully Auditable

Every alert is traceable to specific signal anomalies at specific timesteps. Per-model, per-group visibility lets operators understand exactly what triggered and why.

Lightweight Deployment

Runs single-process in Python. No GPU. No external API calls. Deploys on a $5/mo VPS or inside an air-gapped VM — operator's choice.

Architecture

Signal Flow

Raw Telemetry
Any numeric time series
Per-Signal HTM
Sequence learning
Group Consensus
Cross-signal agreement
System Alert
Webhook / SCADA / on-call
Mission

Provide rare and useful warnings
to prevent losses.

Most anomaly detection systems generate noise. htm-monitor is built for the opposite: say nothing until something genuinely matters, then say it early enough to act. Foresight is power.

We believe the same unsupervised temporal learning engine can serve any domain that produces continuous numeric data — power grids, patient monitors, industrial sensors, financial feeds. The pattern is universal: learn what normal looks like, and flag when reality departs from the learned envelope.

Principles

What We Believe

Silence Is a Feature

A system that cries wolf loses trust. htm-monitor is designed for rare, high-confidence alerts — not dashboard noise.

Unsupervised by Default

No labeled training data required. The system learns from the structure of normal operations and flags departures automatically.

Transparency Over Blackbox

Every alert is fully auditable, traceable to specific signals and timesteps. Operators can see exactly what the system sees.

Domain Agnostic

The same engine works across power grids, patient monitoring, and beyond. If it's continuous numeric data over time, htm-monitor can learn it.

About

Built by DataGrip LLC

htm-monitor is developed and operated by DataGrip LLC. We're focused on making unsupervised temporal anomaly detection practical and accessible for critical infrastructure operators.

Get In Touch

See it on your data.

Whether you want a free technical preview, a paid pilot, or just want to learn more — we'd love to hear from you.

Technical Preview — Free

Send a 90-day telemetry sample and one past event you'd like scored. You get a preview audit within a week: lead/lag timing, false-positive rate, per-signal analysis. No commitment.

Paid Pilot — $2,500

Full historical replay against your event catalog, with a written per-event audit. The fee credits in full against your first subscription month.

Send a Message

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HTM-Monitor
In production, alerts route to your SCADA console, on-call system, or webhook of choice.
Signal Traces
Group Warmth
⚠ Learning period — model is warming up, alerts suppressed
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